Satellite Imaging Shows Ukrainian Drone Hit Pier, Not Russian Sub
Russia claims that the sub is undamaged, but video from the scene leaves questions unanswered
Satellite imaging shows that the Ukrainian attack on the Russian sub pens at Novorossiysk struck the corner of a pier, not the Kilo-class attack sub a few feet away. The imagery appears to support Russian claims that the submarine was not damaged, though it is by no means conclusive.
On Tuesday, reporters Mike Eckel and Mark Krutov and naval analyst Tom Bike posted satellite photos of the sub piers in Novorossiysk's inner harbor, taken before and after the attack. The pier appears intact in the days prior to the strike; one corner next to the sub is clearly damaged in images taken in the days after. A hit on the pier would be consistent with the color of the debris from the explosion, which was gray-black - indicating sediment along with water.
Sat imagery of the same pier, taken Dec. 11. @vantortech pic.twitter.com/misdUzyoeI
— Mike Eckel (@Mike_Eckel) December 16, 2025
Kilo-class submarines have potent naval capabilities, but their role in the war is less naval in nature: they serve as semi-stationary missile launch silos for long-distance surface strikes into Ukrainian territory, firing off salvos of Kalibr missiles to target facilities in and around Odesa, according to the Institute for the Study of War.
Two Kilo-class subs are visible in video footage of the strike that was released by Ukraine's SBU security agency (above). Many observers noted that the existence of the SBU's footage itself, appearing to originate from a fixed camera within the naval harbor, illustrates Ukraine's ability to obtain intelligence inside secure Russian facilities - and its willingness to give up the secrecy of those means and methods for propaganda value.
Russia has released its own post-attack video to demonstrate that the sub remains afloat at the pier, and it claims that the boat was undamaged by the Ukrainian strike. Open-source intelligence analysts have noted that the footage does not show the stern, the section nearest to the blast.